Wednesday, 28 March 2018

Brexit is doomed - The complex and poorly understood legal framework

Nobody, so far as I'm aware, has yet presented an analysis of Brexit which addresses the full legal context in which it is contemplated.

In this brief post I want to identify the five types of Law which must be carefully considered if the flaws of Brexit are fully to be understood:

  1. UK domestic Law (which itself is a composite of Scots Law, the Law of England and Wales, the Law of Northern Ireland and genuine United Kingdom Law)
  2. European Union Law
  3. The European Convention of Human Rights
  4. International Law
  5. World Trade Organisation Law
 In addition to these five sources of Law three further considerations must be factored in to any full analysis of Brexit:

  1. The truncated timescale imposed by Article 50 of the Treaty on European Union
  2. Economics
  3. Political strengths and weaknesses
Taking all of the above factors into consideration leads me to conclude that Brexit is doomed and that the United Kingdom will not leave the European Union in March 2019.

Analysis of these multiple factors is hugely complex.

Communicating a correct analysis of Brexit is ever more daunting due to the swirling mass of misinformation, disinformation and dishonesty which pervades the political and media discourse on Brexit.

In future posts on this blog I'll attempt to communicate the correct analysis of Brexit in a way which hopefully will make sense to those misled by the false trails laid in the United Kingdom media.

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